We don’t have access to the crosstabs or methodology yet, but Fort Hays State University’s Docking Institute released a pair of polls on the Kansas 1st District GOP primary and U.S. Senate races. The numbers are interesting to say the least.
For the GOP Senate Primary, Moran still leads with 44.9 percent. Tiahrt has 32.9 percent and undecideds are at 19.4 percent. On the Democratic side, undecideds are at a whopping 77.6 percent. Charles Schollenberger has 9.4 percent. Lisa Johnson has 7.8 percent.
In the 1st District, Tracey Mann and Jim Barnett are tied at 14.4 percent. Tim Huelskamp has 11 percent. Sue Boldra is at 6.2 percent and Rob Wasinger comes in with 4 percent. In sharp contrast with the numbers from SurveyUSA, undecideds are at 45.5 percent.
Prairie Politics contributor Chapman Rackaway has been involved with the poll, and we expect he will have more detailed analysis in the near future.
45% Don’t know in the Big First spells trouble for Moran. If people out there don’t care about the primary races, he’s in trouble. Biggs is predicting a 19% turnout. The Tiahrt people are motivated, the Moran people not so much. And if 45% of the folks in the 1st don’t care about the congressional contest, that can’t help but hurt Moran.
Posted by altevogt | July 30, 2010, 1:14 pmThat 45 percent doesn’t include Moran. It was just undecideds in the 1st District GOP primary race. Statewide senate primary undecideds are 19.4 percent.
Posted by Sean Wardwell | July 30, 2010, 1:23 pmI understand that, but the congressional race would also be significant in deciding whether or not to go down and vote. brownback’s a shoe-in and if people don’t care about the congressional race, why bother?
Posted by altevogt | July 30, 2010, 1:27 pmThat poll is a total joke. A little over 100 respondents? There is no way that’s a legitimate poll. Releasing a “poll” like that (and the media reporting on it) is just plain reckless.
Posted by kspolitico | July 31, 2010, 8:53 am